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SNB: Schlegel Sticking To Prior Rhetoric But STIR Prices In More Easing

SNB

SNB President Schlegel appears to be sticking to prior rhetoric in his interview with Swiss broadcaster SRF to be published today 9:15pm according to some preliminary headlines which appeared on Bloomberg. The headlines continue to lean dovish, but we would argue they reiterate Schlegel's prior communication:

  • "IF NEEDED, EASING SHOULD BE DONE QUICKLY" note that he opposed any "dry powder" arguments at the press conference following the 50bp cut December meeting.
  • "MONTHLY INFLATION DATA MAY DIP BELOW ZERO" also lines up with December meeting commentary
  • "SWISS INFLATION TO BE RELATIVELY LOW THIS YEAR" in line with the conditional inflation forecast seeing Q1 average inflation at only 0.3% Y/Y.

Swiss STIR pricing meanwhile appears to have taken the commentary with a dovish tilt, with the Dec-25 3m SARON future pricing in around 3bp more easing since the headlines were released, for a current 99.90. However, note that SARON liquidity is likely limited at the moment given timing on the day.

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SNB President Schlegel appears to be sticking to prior rhetoric in his interview with Swiss broadcaster SRF to be published today 9:15pm according to some preliminary headlines which appeared on Bloomberg. The headlines continue to lean dovish, but we would argue they reiterate Schlegel's prior communication:

  • "IF NEEDED, EASING SHOULD BE DONE QUICKLY" note that he opposed any "dry powder" arguments at the press conference following the 50bp cut December meeting.
  • "MONTHLY INFLATION DATA MAY DIP BELOW ZERO" also lines up with December meeting commentary
  • "SWISS INFLATION TO BE RELATIVELY LOW THIS YEAR" in line with the conditional inflation forecast seeing Q1 average inflation at only 0.3% Y/Y.

Swiss STIR pricing meanwhile appears to have taken the commentary with a dovish tilt, with the Dec-25 3m SARON future pricing in around 3bp more easing since the headlines were released, for a current 99.90. However, note that SARON liquidity is likely limited at the moment given timing on the day.

Keep reading...Show less