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Seasonal Slow-down In Feb Supply Under Question

CREDIT MACRO

Barclays adding to growing number of analysts pointing to cash in money market funds as support for inflows to continue; "See money-market dry powder still significant that could feed into riskier assets as economic growth recovers and rate cuts likely begin in earnest in 2H" (bbg). $IG ETF's saw outflows pick up pace yesterday (inflows have been ETF driven in $ thus far) & Feb may not necessarily be a supply slow down (e.g. gross 2023 supply only fell ~$20b to $192b) though over the last decade we have on avg. seen a slow down in €IG/$IG that's normally reversed in full in March. Uncertainty remains if attractive spreads & strong investor demand (particularly in $ markets) brings that seasonal supply forward to February.

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