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Free AccessSell-Side Remains Bearish on TRY Prospects, Despite Expected Pause on Rate Cuts
- USD/TRY trades +0.54% higher this morning, diverging early selling pressure on the BBDXY. Higher UST yields and destabilising remarks regarding further easing for Erdogan saw TRY make a move up towards 13.70 with buyers stepping in below the 13.50 level.
- The broad consensus going in to tomorrow’s CBRT is for not only a hold on policy, but more inflationary pressures and TRY weakness in the pipeline for 1H22.
- Most Analysts believe that fading bouts of TRY strength remains the best approach in 2022, despite recent policy tweaks aimed at slowing dollarization.
- Attention remains on the YTD highs just shy of 14.00 for the next leg higher.
- Intraday Sup1: 13.5087, sup2: 13.4539, Res1: 13.6614, Res2: 13.7261
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.