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Selling Pressure On HUF Remains High Despite NBH Aggressive Hike

HUNGARY
  • Yesterday, the NBH decided to raise its effective rate (1W depo) by 75bps to 5.35% in order to ease the selling pressure on the forint.
  • The deterioration in the Russia/Ukraine conflict has left HUF (and other CEE FX) vulnerable in the past week, with EURHUF rising by nearly 20 figures to reach a all-time high of 383.60 on Wednesday.
  • The intervention via the 1W depo rate facility was expected following Virag’s speech this week, mentioning that ‘rate hikes’ remain the most ‘important tool’ to defend the forint.
  • Selling pressure on HUF remains high this morning, with EURHUF approaching the 383 level after finding support at 380 earlier.
  • Next resistance to watch above 383.60 stands at 384.65, which corresponds to the 161.8% Fibo projection from the 350.90 – 371.75 range.
  • Support to watch on the downside stands at 380, followed by 375..

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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