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Selling Pressure On PLN Remains Elevated, Weighing on Risky Assets

POLAND
  • Selling pressure on PLN remains elevated in the current environment, with USDPLN breaking above the 4.40 level this week and currently trading at the high of its 1M range.
  • The PLN weakness has also been weighing on Polish risky assets, with the WIG20 index currently trading slightly above its May low at 1,652.
  • The chart below shows that period of PLN depreciation have been associated with equity weakness (and vice versa), therefore new highs on the US Dollar in the near term could send equities to November 2020 lows.
  • Today, economic to watch will be core CPI (2pm CET), expected to accelerate to 8.5% in May (up from 7.7% the previous month)

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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