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Sharper Moderation In Core PPI Inflation

US DATA
  • PPI final demand ex fd & energy: -0.13% M/M (cons +0.2) in March but the miss is offset by prior upward revisions through Nov-Feb.
  • PPI final demand ex food, energy & trade services: 0.07% M/M (cons 0.3) but with smaller upward revisions, with only really the Jan’23 of note at +0.1pp.
  • The main takeaway is that PPI inflation has slowed more notably in the past two months, better reflecting the improvement in supply chain pressures although it hasn’t yet fully fed through to core CPI underlying goods – see chart.

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