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Shekel Edges Lower Despite Sharp Reduction In USD/ILS Implied Volatility

ILS

USD/ILS has edged higher today, building on its gains from the past two days, as the spot rate diverges from a sharp pullback in implied volatilities (see chart below). The pair last deals at ILS3.6574, up 50 pips on the day.

  • Technically, a clearance of Apr 12 high of ILS3.6934 would allow bulls to set their sights on Mar 20 cyclical high of ILS3.7130, their key near-term target. Bears look for a slide through the 50-DMA, which kicks in at ILS3.6164.
  • USD/ILS 1-month implied volatility has receded sharply over the past few days, reaching levels last seen in mid-February. One-year tenor has eased to its worst levels since mid-March after refreshing cyclical highs on Apr 18.
  • Israel's Economy and Industry Minister Nir Barkat yesterday said that the economy could withstand any short-term impact from Moody's recent decision to lower the country's credit rating outlook amid uncertainty caused by the contentious judicial overhaul plan.
  • Note that Israel observes the weekend on Friday-Saturday, with local markets already shut as a result.

Fig. 1: USD/ILS vs. USD/ILS 1-Month Implied Volatility

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

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