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Short-Term Bull Channel Vulnerable on Reduced $ Buying; USD Risks Remain

SOUTH AFRICA


USD/ZAR

  • USD/ZAR trading lower on reduced $ buying, holding above 07/08 Jan support at 15.4599 after breaking the underside of the 04-11 Jan bull channel.
  • Easing in Covid case numbers and signs of peaking may support increased local optimism,
  • however, the extension of level 3 should still weigh on 1Q21 growth prospects (-3.3% est).
  • Manufacturing production in focus today, expected to decline MoM, but improve YoY. Move through 14.599 opens up 15.2903 lateral support & 50% fib drawn off 04 Jan low at 15.0891.
  • Demand at the first auction for 2021 will be watched closely, with potential inflows bolstering ZAR strength.
  • $ side factors to dominate, however, with concerns of a decent rally in the USD boosting EM uncertainty.
  • Commodities making a comeback (gold +0.88%, Platinum 2.87%).
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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