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WTI and Brent are ~$0.40 higher from settlement at typing, printing $92.31 and $97.24 respectively.
- To recap, both benchmarks backed away from fresh cycle highs on Tuesday ($96.00 for WTI and $99.50 for Brent), with participants removing some of the geopolitical risk premium that had developed earlier in the day as it became apparent that western sanctions re: Russia were a little more lenient than some had feared. BBG source reports carrying remarks from a senior U.S. State Dept official noted that the sanctions were designed to avoid upsetting energy markets.
- A reminder that hope surrounding a potential U.S.-Iran nuclear deal remains elevated, providing at least some counter to the impulse from the ongoing Russia-Ukraine situation.
- From a technical perspective, bullish conditions remain intact for oil. Tuesday’s rally saw WTI and Brent clear resistance at $98.94 (2.764 projection of the Dec 2-9-20 price swing) and $95.82 (Feb 14 high and bull trigger), respectively, before pulling back to current levels. Bulls now look to $98.24 (3.00 proj. of the Dec 2-9-20 price swing) in WTI and $100.00 (key psychological barrier) in Brent.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.