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Small Rise in Spot LNG Share in Early 2024 After Decline in 2023

LNG

The share of spot LNG trade in the global market fell to a new low of 26% in 2023 according to ICIS. Early 2024 is suggesting a small rise in the share of spot supply driven by prices below oil-linked contract levels.

  • The long-term contracts share of 72% was supported by high spot vs contract prices in 2023 with much of the contract pricing linked to oil. Short/mid-term contracts accorded for the small remaining share.
  • China’s spot LNG was just 22% of supply, unchanged from 2022 but down from 41% in 2021 with new term supply starting last year. Europe’s spot supply was close to 2022 at just under 30%.
  • The large rise in US LNG production on a FOB basis means relative market pricing in Europe and Asia will be vital to drive supply.



Source: ICIS

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