May 31, 2024 11:47 GMT
SocGen: Flow Picture Makes BTPs Vulnerable To A Change In Market Risk Sentiment
BTP
Societe Generale write “the market is not interested in sovereign risk… for now.”
- “The BTP/Bund spread moves mostly with the Bund leg and is stuck in a low volatility regime.”
- “The flow picture makes BTPs vulnerable to a change in market risk sentiment.”
- “Foreign investors are gaining importance as marginal buyers of BTPs. But this flow may be fast to turn.”
- “Retail appetite is declining. Domestic banks do not have much flexibility, while other domestic financial institutions could potentially step in, but this is only likely once the BTP/Bund spread widens enough.”
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