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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessMNI BRIEF: PBOC Increases Gold Reserves
MNI BRIEF: Japan Q3 GDP Revised Up On Net Exports, Capex
MNI ASIA OPEN: Nov Job Gains, Fed Blackout, CPI/PPI Ahead
MNI UST Issuance Deep Dive: Dec 2024
Sodexo (SWFP; Baa1 Neg, BBB+ S, BBB+ S) {SW FP Equity} 1H Results (ending February)
Note Pluxee (PLXFP; NR, BBB+; S) {PLX FP Equity}, the meal-voucher business (was 27% of operating profit & higher margin) was spun-off earlier this year.
Cash lines are selling-off 26/27s +5/6. Earnings today isn't of concern for us - outside some accounting quirks - but how tight curve has been trading in secondary is. CSPP contributing but trading through higher-rated Adidas (another tight curve on CSPP) is of awe to us. 28's at Z+30 is 50bps inside spun-off & equal rated Pluxee 28s.
- Beat on headline with organic revenue growth of 8.5% (c7.7%) to €12.1b, underlying operating margin a tad weak at 5.1%. EBITDA a firm €810m which was offset by net debt increase of €434m to €3.4b on seasonal negative FCF. Left leverage up 0.1x over half at 2.3x - yoy its down from 3.2x. It targets 1-2x over medium-term.
- Capex looks tad higher at €246m (2% of sales) but it is revising reporting definitions so it no longer includes client investment amortisation. Its guiding to rising Capex though - 2.5% next year. Capex combined with NWC of -€513m (1H seasonally tends to be around here) went through €739m in operating cash flows & left FCF at -€102b (up from -€236m last year).
- BS impact was worse on -€456m in dividends (pays in 1H only generally) - highest payout in recent years. We don't see issues on liquidity with cash of €1.45b.
- Guidance; organic growth "at top of the +6-8% range" & operating margin improvement of +30-40bps - we already see consensus here at 7.5% growth but operating margin does look tad weak vs. guidance. Analyst looking for recovery in 2H to give €700m in FCF this year - nothing exciting given dividend pay-out of €450m but leverage should stay in low 2x's on expected stronger 2H (vs. 2H23).
- We expect Moody's to stay on negative outlook for now, risk is a one-notch downgrade.
Earnings call ongoing
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.