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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessMNI EUROPEAN MARKETS ANALYSIS: ECB Expected To Cut Rates Later
MNI EUROPEAN OPEN: A$ & Local Yields Surge Following Jobs Data
SOFR/Treasury Option Roundup
SOFR put trade gathered momentum as weaker underlying took cues from EGBs following hawkish ECB Holzmann comments: "SHOULDN'T COUNT ON RATE CUTS AT ALL IN 2024" Bbg. Better call trade on lighter volumes overnight. Projected rate cuts for the first half of 2024 receded slightly: January 2024 cumulative -1.1bp at 5.318%, March 2024 chance of rate cut -71.2% vs. -77% late Friday w/ cumulative of -18.9bp at 5.139%, May 2024 still fully pricing in 25bp cut now, cumulative -47bp at 4.859%. June 2024 cumulative -78.1bp at 4.548%. Fed terminal at 5.3275% in Jan'24.
- SOFR Options:
- Block 5,000 SFRU4 96.00/96.50 call spds 3.5 over 2QU4 97.12/97.62 call spds
- 4,625 SFRH4 95.25 puts vs. 96.75/97.00 call spd ref 96.59
- 5,000 SFRZ4 97.75/98.00 call spds ref 96.31
- 6,000 SFRH4 95.00/96.00 1x2 call spds
- 2,500 SFRM4 94.75/95.00 2x1 put spds
- 7,000 SFRH4 95.12/95.37 1x2 call spds
- 22,000 SFRM4 95.25/95.50/95.75 put trees
- 10,600 2QJ4 95.75/96.00/96.25 put trees
- 9,000 SFRH4 95.12 calls ref 94.98/0.32%
- 2,000 SFRH4 95.00/95.12/95.25/95.37 call condors ref 94.98
- 4,000 SFRZ4 96.50 calls ref 96.32/0.38%
- 5,000 0QH4 96.87/97.37 call spds 9.5 ref 96.645/0.19%
- 2,000 0QM4 96.00/96.25 put spds ref 96.765/0.09%
- 2,500 SFRJ4 95.25/95.37/95.50 put flys
- 2,000 SFRJ4 95.87/96.00/96.12 call flys ref 95.535
- Treasury Options:
- 3,000 wk3 TY 111.75 puts, 8 ref 112-09
- over 9,000 TYG4 111 puts, 6 last
- 4,000 TYG4 114 calls, 6 last
- 2,000 FVG4 109.25 calls, 10.5 ref 108-19.75
To read the full story
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.