Free Trial

Some Bank Board Members Suggest Rate Cuts Could Start By Year-End

CZECHIA
  • The minutes of the CNB's monetary policy meeting last week showed that a "large part of the debate was devoted to the start of the process of lowering monetary policy rates". Some policymakers (Jan Prochazka, Jan Frait, Tomas Holub) suggested that rate cuts could be possible by the end of this year, albeit all emphasised the need to remain cautious and ensure that the disinflationary trend is robust. Furthermore, Eva Zamrazilova noted that the weakening of the exchange rate over the past month delivered the equivalent of monetary policy easing of around 25-50bp.
  • CNB's Karina Kubelkova told Mlada Fronta Dnes that the decision on when to start cutting interest rates is complicated by a range of uncertainties, which include energy prices and the impact of elevated inflation expectations on wage negotiations and bonuses. The official warned that "the risk of a wage-price spiral is far from gone".
  • Finance Minister Zbynek Stanjura said that the government's current fiscal consolidation package is likely the last one before the 2025 general elections. Parliament is expected to vote on the austerity measures next week.
  • Czechia's ex-auto retail sales fell 2.8% Y/Y in August versus the revised -2.1% in July and BBG median estimate of -1.9%.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.