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SOUTH AFRICA: Pension Fund Members Request ZAR4.1bn of Withdrawals

SOUTH AFRICA
  • "S. AFRICA PENSION FUND MEMBERS REQUEST ZAR4.1B OF WITHDRAWALS"
  • "S. AFRICA REVENUE SERVICE COMMENTS ON 2-POT SYSTEM WITHDRAWALS" - BBG

As a reminder, the two-pot pension withdrawal system opened last week. Commenting earlier this week, Absa said they see total claims of ZAR 80bln in the first year, Citi see post-tax withdrawals of ZAR 38bln, Stanlib expected ZAR 50bln (ZAR 40bln post-tax), while Sanlam say forecasting is “impossible”.

The changes are seen as positive for both GDP and tax revenues for this year – Stanlib upgraded their GDP view by 0.2ppts, and estimate revenues of ZAR 16bln, while Citi upgrades 2024/25 growth to 1.2% (+0.2ppts) and 2.0% (+0.3ppts) on the plans. The pensions reform is also a key support for JPM’s overweight South Africa call.

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  • "S. AFRICA PENSION FUND MEMBERS REQUEST ZAR4.1B OF WITHDRAWALS"
  • "S. AFRICA REVENUE SERVICE COMMENTS ON 2-POT SYSTEM WITHDRAWALS" - BBG

As a reminder, the two-pot pension withdrawal system opened last week. Commenting earlier this week, Absa said they see total claims of ZAR 80bln in the first year, Citi see post-tax withdrawals of ZAR 38bln, Stanlib expected ZAR 50bln (ZAR 40bln post-tax), while Sanlam say forecasting is “impossible”.

The changes are seen as positive for both GDP and tax revenues for this year – Stanlib upgraded their GDP view by 0.2ppts, and estimate revenues of ZAR 16bln, while Citi upgrades 2024/25 growth to 1.2% (+0.2ppts) and 2.0% (+0.3ppts) on the plans. The pensions reform is also a key support for JPM’s overweight South Africa call.