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South Korean LNG Summer Demand to Fall 3% YoY

LNG

South Korean LNG demand is forecast to be 3% lower on the year at 17.7mn tons this summer as high storage levels limit injection demand, outweighing expected gains in residential and commercial gas demand according to BNEF.

  • Gas use from residential and commercial users is expected to rise by 0.6mn tons on the year this summer.
  • Gas use for power generation is forecast to fall slightly this summer by 0.1mn tons as South Korean nuclear generation is expected to rise 8% year on year.
  • KHNP’s 1.4GW Shinhanul 2 reactor is scheduled to start up in April and the 1.3GW Saeul No 3 reactor is expected to come online in October.
  • South Korean LNG storages are set to start the summer above the four-year average, with injections likely to be 1.1mn tons lower than last year’s levels.
  • More LNG demand is expected to be covered by contracts compared to last year, reducing spot LNG demand, while two contracts – one with Qatar and one with Oman – are scheduled to expire by the end of this year, totaling 9mtpa.
  • The lost contract volumes will be partly offset with new supply deals from Qatar and the US totalling 3.6mtpa from 2025.

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