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S&P Downgrades Peru to BBB-, Outlook Stable

PERU
  • Overnight, Peru‘s long-term foreign currency debt rating was downgraded by S&P to BBB-, the lowest investment grade score, from BBB. Correspondingly, the ratings agency’s outlook was adjusted to stable from negative.
  • S&P expects a moderate economic recovery for Peru in 2024-2025 following the contraction in real GDP last year stemming from various shocks to growth. However, a fragmented Congress and limited political capital of the administration weigh on private-sector investment sentiment and pose an opportunity cost to growth, which constrains Peru’s capacity to rebuild fiscal space.
  • The stable outlook incorporates S&P’s expectation of moderate growth and fiscal deficits that keep net general government debt inching higher, though they expect it to remain below 30% of GDP over the next three years.
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  • Overnight, Peru‘s long-term foreign currency debt rating was downgraded by S&P to BBB-, the lowest investment grade score, from BBB. Correspondingly, the ratings agency’s outlook was adjusted to stable from negative.
  • S&P expects a moderate economic recovery for Peru in 2024-2025 following the contraction in real GDP last year stemming from various shocks to growth. However, a fragmented Congress and limited political capital of the administration weigh on private-sector investment sentiment and pose an opportunity cost to growth, which constrains Peru’s capacity to rebuild fiscal space.
  • The stable outlook incorporates S&P’s expectation of moderate growth and fiscal deficits that keep net general government debt inching higher, though they expect it to remain below 30% of GDP over the next three years.