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Space sells off on the glass...........>

AUSSIE BONDS
AUSSIE BONDS: Space sells off on the glass half-full tone in the RBA's statement
which accompanied its decision to leave its cash rate unchanged. The most
hawkish note was probably struck but the RBA's failure to signal any notable
lower revisions (if any at all) for its GDP outlook, even as it flagged near
term headwinds i.e. Coronavirus & bushfires. Potential for some upgrade to the
Bank's CPI track as well, although underlying inflation exp. will probably be
unchanged in Friday's SoMP. Most quick comments with contacts have pointed
towards an RBA that is unwilling to cut, probably given close proximity to the
cash rate's ELB, and perhaps some uncertainty re: the aforementioned growth
headwinds i.e. the RBA would prefer to keep its powder dry, so maybe not quite
as upbeat as some have perceived.
- YM -2.5, XM -0.5, off reaction lows, but still comfortably lower vs.
pre-decision levels.
- Bills sit 2-5 ticks lower on the day vs. settlement through the reds.
- IBs now price 32% chance of a cut at next month's decision vs. ~55% yesterday.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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