November 27, 2024 07:53 GMT
STIR: 149bps of ECB Easing Priced Through Dec '25, Focus On Nov Flash Inflation
STIR
ECB-dated OIS sit broadly within yesterday’s ranges through next year, with 149bps of easing priced through December 2025.
- Euribor futures are +1.0 to +3.0 ticks through the blues.
- November downside in the Z4/Z5 spread has been capped by -96.0 ticks, with better support seen around -100.0 ticks (Oct 16 low).
- Today’s regional data calendar is once again light, with primary focus on the November flash inflation round, starting tomorrow. MNI’s preview is here.
- ECB Chief Economist Lane is scheduled to give introductory dinner remarks at a conference on "Macroeconomic Modelling Frontiers for Research and Policy in Central Banks” at 1800GMT/1900CET. No text will be made available.
Meeting Date | ESTR ECB-Dated OIS (%) | Difference Vs. Current Effective ESTR Rate (bp) |
Dec-24 | 2.844 | -32.1 |
Jan-25 | 2.501 | -66.5 |
Mar-25 | 2.193 | -97.2 |
Apr-25 | 1.989 | -117.6 |
Jun-25 | 1.846 | -131.9 |
Jul-25 | 1.777 | -138.8 |
Sep-25 | 1.721 | -144.5 |
Oct-25 | 1.693 | -147.2 |
Dec-25 | 1.673 | -149.2 |
Source: MNI/Bloomberg. |
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