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STIR: Close To 80bps Of Fed Cuts Seen This Year

STIR
  • Fed Funds implied rates are a off very latest lows but hold a shift below post FOMC dovish extremes after the slide in consumer confidence in the Conference Board survey and its continued decline in the labor differential.
  • Cumulative cuts from 4.83% effective: 39.5bp Nov (+1.3bp since the release), 79bp Dec (+3.5bp), 113bp Jan (+4bp) and 181bp June (+5bp).
  • The almost 80bp of cuts seen over the two meetings this year is seen in contrast to the 50bp from the median FOMC dot at last week's SEP.
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  • Fed Funds implied rates are a off very latest lows but hold a shift below post FOMC dovish extremes after the slide in consumer confidence in the Conference Board survey and its continued decline in the labor differential.
  • Cumulative cuts from 4.83% effective: 39.5bp Nov (+1.3bp since the release), 79bp Dec (+3.5bp), 113bp Jan (+4bp) and 181bp June (+5bp).
  • The almost 80bp of cuts seen over the two meetings this year is seen in contrast to the 50bp from the median FOMC dot at last week's SEP.