November 27, 2024 08:32 GMT
STIR: Hawkish Schnabel Felt In EUR STIRs, 147bp Of Cuts Priced Through Dec 25
STIR
Euribor futures pull back from highs as ECB Executive Board member Schnabel gives a hawkish interview to BBG, pointing to "limited room" for further rate cuts, last -2.0 to +1.0.
- ECB-dated OIS now prices 31bp of cuts for next month and 147bp through Dec ’25. Contracts sit 1-4bp more hawkish on the day.
- Dec ’25 meeting pricing showed 151bp of cuts earlier today.
- Schnabel had previously been of the view that the ECB "mustn't rush further rate cuts" and used the word "gradual" to describe the approach to removing restrictive policy.
ECB Meeting |
€STR ECB-Dated OIS (%)
Difference Vs. Current Effective €STR Rate (bp)
Dec-24
2.856
-30.9
Jan-25
2.521
-64.4
Mar-25
2.230
-93.5
Apr-25
2.036
-112.9
Jun-25
1.891
-127.4
Jul-25
1.813
-135.2
Sep-25
1.750
-141.6
Oct-25
1.722
-144.3
Dec-25
1.698
-146.7
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