October 17, 2024 02:00 GMT
STIR: RBA Dated OIS Sharply Firmer After Today’s Jobs Report
STIR
RBA-dated OIS pricing is 7-10bps firmer for 2025 meetings after today’s Employment Report. A cumulative 5bps of easing is priced by year-end versus -8bps pre-data.
- Job growth printed higher than expected again in September. Employment rose 64.1k after a downwardly revised 42.6k in August.
- The unemployment rate was revised down to 4.1% and held steady at a lower rate in September. The participation rose 0.1pp to 67.2%, a new high.
- The continued strength in the labour market is likely going to keep the RBA on hold for now.
Figure 1: RBA-Dated OIS – Pre- Vs. Post-Data
Source: MNI – Market News / Bloomberg
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