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Free AccessStress Tests Could Result in Slower Buybacks Among Largest US Banks
- Worth watching later this week: On Thursday, June 23rd at 2130BST/1630ET, the Fed release the results of their 2022 stress testing of US banks (methodology here: https://www.federalreserve.gov/publications/files/... , scenarios here: https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressrel... )
- The tests look to gauge whether the biggest banks in the US have adequate capital to cover losses that emanate from a significant theoretical economic downturn. The Fed have flagged that this year's scenarios include a severe global recession twinned with considerable stress in commercial real estate and corporate debt. 34 banks have been assessed this year.
- Surplus capital in the US banking sector is estimated at ~$75bn, but results this week could prompt lenders to raise more in surplus capital to head off higher stress capital buffers. This may force the largest US banks to slow down their pace of share buybacks in the coming quarters – particularly the drop in excess capital across Q1 due to higher market rates and bond portfolio losses.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.