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Strong Turnaround For The Chilean Peso

CHILE
  • After some firm economic activity data, along with regional currency strength, USDCLP opened below 755, comfortably below last week's lows.
  • The retracement higher was consistent after the open, slowly closing the gap to Friday's close and then picking up momentum through Friday's highs at 762.63.
  • Peso losses tally 0.55%, bucking the firm EMFX trend to start the week. In line with currency weakness, Camara swap rates are seen higher across the curve by between 3-8 basis points.
  • Despite the strong data, the unsettled political and policy backdrop combined with some marginally dovish BCCh minutes last week, where the central bank said they discussed either holding or raising rates at the July meeting, continue to act as a CLP headwind.
  • Additionally, copper has reverted from positive to negative territory, now down half a percent on the day.
  • Technically, the USDCLP outlook remains bullish. The focus is on 777.00, the Nov 24, 2020 high.

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