February 14, 2025 04:53 GMT
JGBS: Subdued Session, Rice Prices Surge, Q4 GP On Monday
JGBS
JGB futures are stronger, +4 compared to settlement levels, but well off the session’s best levels.
- Given that today’s 5-year auction was offering a yield approximately 10-15bps higher than last month, marking a cyclical peak, mixed demand metrics were viewed as somewhat disappointing.
- Outside of the previously outlined International Investment Flow data, there hasn't been much by way of domestic drivers to flag.
- Japan will sell 210,000 tons of rice from its emergency stockpiles as households are paying record prices for the grain. The average retail price for 5 kilograms of rice surged 82% to 3,688 yen ($24) in the week of Jan. 27th compared with a year ago, according to the Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries. (per BBG)
- Cash US tsys are little changed in today’s Asia-Pac session after yesterday’s solid rally which took yields back to pre-CPI levels from Wednesday. Details of January's PPI offered some hope for easing price pressures in the PCE Deflator
- Cash JGBs are little changed across benchmarks out to the 10-year and 1-2bps richer beyond.
- Swap rates are 1-2bps higher. Swap spreads are wider.
- On Monday, the local calendar will see Q4 GDP (P) and December IP (F).
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