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LATAM: Summary – February 12

LATAM
  • The BCCh minutes on Wednesday will provide further guidance on the interest rate outlook in Chile, after the unanimous decision to keep rates unchanged last month. Brazil IBGE services volume and Argentina wages, both for December, also cross, as well as Colombia January consumer confidence figures.
  • In the G10, the US inflation print takes focus, with markets anticipating a moderation in inflationary pressures for January. However, the release could be muddier than usual due to the concurrent posting of annual revisions for inflation. Central bank speak also comes through thick and fast, as Powell faces a second appearance in front of lawmakers on top of appearances from BoE's Greene, ECB's Nagel and Fed's Bostic.
  • The JPY's overnight step lower stands out among G10 FX, headlined by USD/JPY's rally back above Y153.00, closing in on the first major resistance at 154.46. Clearance here would be bullish. Meanwhile, GBP/USD's strong rally off yesterday's lows means the pair has now retraced over 50% of the post-BoE decision losses, putting the price within 100 pips of last week's highs.
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  • The BCCh minutes on Wednesday will provide further guidance on the interest rate outlook in Chile, after the unanimous decision to keep rates unchanged last month. Brazil IBGE services volume and Argentina wages, both for December, also cross, as well as Colombia January consumer confidence figures.
  • In the G10, the US inflation print takes focus, with markets anticipating a moderation in inflationary pressures for January. However, the release could be muddier than usual due to the concurrent posting of annual revisions for inflation. Central bank speak also comes through thick and fast, as Powell faces a second appearance in front of lawmakers on top of appearances from BoE's Greene, ECB's Nagel and Fed's Bostic.
  • The JPY's overnight step lower stands out among G10 FX, headlined by USD/JPY's rally back above Y153.00, closing in on the first major resistance at 154.46. Clearance here would be bullish. Meanwhile, GBP/USD's strong rally off yesterday's lows means the pair has now retraced over 50% of the post-BoE decision losses, putting the price within 100 pips of last week's highs.