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Mini S&P is approaching record high


E-MINI S&P (U1): Outlook Remains Bullish

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UBS 8-1 vote. Still expect first hike in 2023 but with a better growth outlook and a smaller-than-expected increase in unemployment there are risks of the first hike in late 2022.
ING Don't expect anything on when the first hike will be this week. ING forecasts a 1Q23 move but "wouldn't rule out an earlier move."
UniCredit Look for a more hawkish tone from the rapid recovery and upside risks to inflation. Base case: asset purchases and bank rate on hold through 2022 with risk of tightening in 2022.
BNP 8-1 vote with Haldane voting to reduce APF target. Think the rest of the MPC will agree that Bank does not need to do something now about short-term inflation shock.