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Policy
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Exclusive interviews with leading policymakers that convey the true policy message that impacts markets.
LATEST FROM POLICY: -
G10 Markets
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Real-time insight on key fixed income and fx markets.
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MNI Research
Actionable insight on monetary policy, balance sheet and inflation with focus on global issuance. Analysis on key political risk impacting the global markets.
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Free AccessSUMMARY OF ANALYST VIEWS: There is a growing....>
BOE: SUMMARY OF ANALYST VIEWS: There is a growing divergence of views among
sell-side analysts with respect to Bank of England monetary policy.
- Most analysts expect a unanimous 9-0 vote to keep policy unchanged, but some
cite risks of a dissenter voting in favour of a rate cut. JP Morgan are the only
bank in our survey that explicitly expects Saunders to dissent in an 8-1 vote.
Most who mention the possibility of dissent also state that Vlieghe could
potentially dissent.
- Views are split between whether the Bank's "limited and gradual" forward
guidance remains intact. A slight majority expect this line to remain unchanged
while some expect more conditionality to be added and others expect a more
balanced guidance statement.
- A number of analysts now expect cuts next year, but many argue that this is
difficult to signal during an election campaign so expect more wholesale changes
to be made in January when future government policy becomes somewhat clearer.
Deutsche Bank acknowledge a January cut is more likely but don't rule out a
December cut that "should survey and hard data deteriorate significantly."
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.