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Tech Equity Optimism Aids TWD Outperformance

TWD

TWD is outperforming in the Asia FX space in the first part of Friday trade. The 1 month NDF is back into the 31.20/25 region, around 0.60% stronger in TWD terms. Spot is near 31.44, up 0.45% so far today.

  • The main positive catalyst for TWD is the rebound in local shares. The Taiex is up +2%, led by gains in tech bellwether TSMC. The company sees a return to solid growth this quarter, with the positive outlook aiding Wall St sentiment in Thursday trade (see this BBG link).
  • For TWD this may help reverse some of the sharp equity outflows we saw earlier in the week. Up to Thursday we had seen -$4.5bn in net outflows, the largest since March 2022.
  • 1 month USD/TWD has fallen back sub the 100 and 200-day EMAs. Current levels are close to the 50-day, while the 20-day sits further south near 31.10. Recent highs rest close to 31.60.

Fig 1: Offshore Weekly Taiwan Net Equity Flows


Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

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