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Technicals Also At Play During Thursday’s S&P 500 Rebound
The cross-market post-U.S. CPI swings, which were initially linked to the firmer than expected inflation readings, before the impact of the combination of relatively one-way position covering/unwind of cross-market hedges, heightened sensitivity to Gilt market dynamics (with another large round of BoE Gilt purchases seen) and potential JPY intervention from the Japanese authorities was felt.
- We also note that the S&P 500 seemed to draw some interest around the 50% retracement of the move from the Mar ’20 lows to the all-time highs, after registering a fresh round of YtD lows post-data.
- The 50% retracement of the swing from COVID lows to all-time highs in the cash S&P 500 index sits at 3,505.24. The index printed a low of 3,491.58 on Thursday, so that technical measure didn’t provide clearly defined support in that case. However, the equivalent level in S&P 500 futures sits at 3,491.13, with that contract printing a low of 3,502.00 on Thursday, pointing to the potential for some technical-related buying ahead of that retracement level in that contract.
Fig.1: S&P 500 E-Mini Futures
Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg
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