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TECHS: CEEMEA FX Price Signal Summary: USDTRY Dips Considered Corrective

EMERGING MARKETS
  • EURHUF is trading closer to recent highs and maintains a short-term bullish tone. The cross has recently probed 364.27, 61.8% of the downleg between Mar 18 and Apr 12. A clear breach of the retracement would confirm a resumption of recent gains and open 366.16, the 76.4% level. Initial firm support is at 360.13, Apr 19 low.
  • EURPLN is trading sideways. Key support is unchanged at 4.5203, Apr 12 low. This level coincides with 4.5202, 76.4% of the Feb 10 - Mar 29 rally.
    • A clear breach would suggest scope for a deeper pullback to 4.50 and 4.4709, Feb 10 low.
    • Initial resistance is 4.5751, Apr 8 high ahead of 4.6088, Apr 5 high.
  • USDZAR continues to trade sideways and this consolidation appears to be a bear flag.
    • This is a continuation pattern and reinforces current bearish conditions.
    • The focus is on 14.0633, the 1.236 Fibonacci projection of the Apr - Jun - Aug 2020 price swing.
    • Initial resistance is unchanged at 14.3966.
  • USDTRY traded to a fresh high yesterday of 8.4851, just above the 8.4707 high on Mar 22. Despite the subsequent pullback, a bullish theme remains intact and dips is considered corrective.
    • Fresh gains would expose 8.5793, the Nov 6 high and an important resistance.
    • Key support is unchanged at 7.6958, Mar 22 low. Initial firm support is at 7.9886, Apr 2 low.
  • USDRUB is trading at recent lows. The pair last week cleared support at 75.2275, Mar 31 low. This opens 74.6403 and potentially 73.8370, 61.8% and 76.4% of the rally between Mar 16 - Apr 7. The former level has today been tested. The 20-day EMA at 75.9077 marks initial resistance.
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