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The front end of the Sonia curve is...........>

SONIA
SONIA: The front end of the Sonia curve is modestly flatter in early Wednesday
morning trade compared to Tuesday's close as more newspaper report on
differences in Brexit negotiations and growing concerns from companies as hopes
of a transition deal being agreed by end of the year fade. Looking ahead UK
first estimate of Q3 GDP is released at 0930BST. Unless it comes in
significantly weaker than +0.3% q/q expected, it is unlikely to change chances
of Nov rate hike. MNI PINCH see markets pricing a 82% chance of a 25bp rate hike
in Nov 2017 and following levels in BoE forward dated Sonia:-
* Nov-17 unch at 0.418%
* Dec-17 -0.1bp at 0.442%
* Feb-18 -0.1bp at 0.534%
* Mar-18 unch at 0.541%
* May-18 unch at 0.625%
* Jun-18 -0.3bp at 0.626%
* Aug-18 -0.5bp at 0.681%
* Sep-18 -0.5bp at 0.689%

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