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The front end of the Sonia curve is...........>

SONIA
SONIA: The front end of the Sonia curve is modestly flatter in early Wednesday
morning trade compared to Tuesday's close as markets continue to react to Fed
Chari Powell comments from and to a BBG story that 8 Tory rebels have backed an
amendment to the Trade Bill to keep UK in a customs union with the EU. No
further UK data today, however overnight GfK consumer confidence and Lloyds
business barometer slipped lower and shop prices deflation rose. MNI PINCH
calculate 84.5% chance of a hike in May-18 and a 63.5% chance of a second rate
hike in November. Current levels in short end Sonia:-
* 6-mth +0.2bp at 0.613%
* 9-mth +0.1bp at 0.675%
* 12-mth unch at 0.733%
* 15-mth +0.1bp at 0.782%
* 18-mth unch at 0.826%
* 21-mth unch at 0.867%
* 2-yr unch at 0.906%
* 3-yr -0.1bp at 1.028%

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