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MNI Credit Weekly: Le Vendredi Noir
The Norges Bank is set to reprise on....>
NORGES BANK: The Norges Bank is set to reprise on Thursday its "after the
summer" line on a rate hike.
- At an April 6 conference in London, Norges Bank Governor Oystein Olsen said
that he was not going to give any fresh hints on the policy outlook and with the
central bank not updating its full set of projections this month, the May 3
statement is likely to be a holding one.
- There are good reasons to suppose that Norway's economic risks lie to the
downside -- with activity data from the European Union cooling and Norwegian
inflation surprising to the downside in the most recent print.
- However, Olsen and his colleagues believe that Norway's output gap is closing
and that "rising capacity utilisation will probably push up price and wage
inflation further out," according to the March statement.
- As a result the soft recent activity data are unlikely to sway the Bank's view
that summer will be fading before a rate hike becomes plausible, while the
subdued recent inflation outturns are, in themselves, not a major deterrent to
near-term hiking. (MNI - For Full Story See Main Wire At 16:55 BST 05/01)
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.