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Free AccessThe RBA has published a paper titled:...........>
RBA: The RBA has published a paper titled: Cost-benefit Analysis of Leaning
against the Wind
- The paper notes that "setting interest rates higher than macroeconomic
conditions would warrant due to concerns about financial instability is called
'leaning against the wind'. Many recent papers have attempted to quantify and
evaluate the effects of this policy. This paper summarises this research and
applies the approach to Australia. The papers we survey see the benefit of
leaning against the wind as avoiding financial crises, such as those that
affected Australia in 1990 or other countries in 2008. Most of the international
research finds that interest rates have too small an effect on the probability
of a crisis for this benefit to be worth higher unemployment. Using Australian
data, we find similar results. We estimate the costs of leaning against the wind
to be three to eight times larger than the benefit of avoiding financial crises.
However, research has not yet quantified the increased resilience of household
balance sheets, which may be an extra benefit of leaning against the wind."
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.