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Free AccessThere was strong demand for the 30Y.....>
EGB SUMMARY: There was strong demand for the 30Y sector of Germany and,
particularly, France on Friday. The 10Y Bund yield was going into the close down
1.5bp at 0.301%. But, movements were quite erratic.
- Initially peripheral debt markets were strong, even if the Italian market felt
heavier than the others all through the day. Greek 10Y yields fell below 4% and
tightened the spread to Germany by another 12bp. Portuguese 10Y spread also
traded smartly below the better-rated Italian 10Y.
- As the close approached, it looked like the popular trade of recent month
(being long Italy vs Spain and Germany) was being unwound. The Bund-BTP spread
was 3bp wider on the day.
- A lot of attention was on the EURUSD cross currency basis swap, which
collapsed on Friday to -102bp. Last year, the move presaged a shrinking of the
EGB repo markets but this does not appear to be the case this time.
- Interestingly, news that the US tax plan is done gave a small push to equities
but the impact on bonds was fairly small.
- Fitch updates its Portugal rating later. Markets expect an upgrade to IG.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.