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Tokyo Nov CPI Weaker Than Expected

JAPAN DATA

Tokyo Nov CPI printed below expectations across all measures. The headline was 2.6%y/y versus 3.0% expected and a revised 3.2% print for Oct. The ex fresh food measure printed at 2.3%, versus 2.4% expected and 2.7% prior. The ex fresh food, energy metric was 3.6% y/y (3.7% forecast and 3.8% prior).

  • Headline CPI is now back to mid 2022 levels, while core (ex fresh food and energy) has edged away from recent cyclical highs near 4%. The core measure which excludes all food and energy was stable at 2.7% y/y though.
  • In m/m terms the core measures were either flat or down. Goods inflation fell -0.6% m/m (+1.6% prior), services inflation eased back to 0.2% (prior 0.4%)
  • Food was -0.9% m/m, utilities -0.4%, household goods -0.9% and entertainment at -0.3% were the main drags.
  • In y/y terms, utilities remain a large drag -15.3%. 9 out of 11 of the sub categories saw either lower or unchanged y/y momentum versus Oct.

Fig 1: Tokyo CPI Y/Y Trends - Resume Shift Lower


Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

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