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Too early for risk appetite to.........>

US TSY FLOWS
US TSY FLOWS: Too early for risk appetite to return with such gusto? Perhaps.
Whether the multi-session risk-off run tied to fears of the novel coronavirus
spd was overdone or "too far, too fast" remains to be seen. But that was the
theme for the day as cooler heads turned focus back to markets, politics (Iowa
caucus debacle; Trump SOTU tonight) and data (ADP wed, NFP Fri). US factory
orders rose 1.8% in Dec, largest m/m % change since Apr'18 underscored moves.
- S&Ps surged over 55.0, Gold fell over 28.0 around midday (but bounced slightly
late), and 30YY climbed to 2.0898 high after slipping below 2.0 to 1.9936%
overnight.
- Relative calm spurred on issuers: $6B Wells Fargo 2-part matched Jan's MS for
largest issuance of year so far. Decent two-way flow in 2s, 3s and 5s leaning
toward better paying, particularly in 2s around 1.470-1.468%, earlier Eurodlr
Red pack block swap-tied as well as corporate issuance-tied hedging in 3s-5s.
Tsy futures starting to see pick-up in March/June futures roll adding to
volumes. The 2-Yr yield is up 6.2bps at 1.415%, 5-Yr is up 8bps at 1.4271%,
10-Yr is up 7.7bps at 1.6043%, and 30-Yr is up 7.2bps at 2.0789%.

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