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MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free Access*** Traders quizzed on how to trade Fri.....>
US TSYS: *** Traders quizzed on how to trade Fri 8:30am ET Sept jobs appear to
not favor any one approach. MNI econ poll has 70K median estimate with large
uncertainty, 4.4% jobless rate, 0.3% Avg Hrly Earnings, 34.4 hrs avg workwk.
Some may add 100K to jobs number and trade that, so 70K jobs may be traded as if
170K, under view hurricanes pulled away many jobs. Others say Fri jobs "will be
hard to read" so trading "may be a little bit more interpretive," said a trader
at primary dealer.
- Others say Avg Hrly Earnings is key but there's no uniform view. "Let's say
the $10/hr lunch counter guy got laid off due to hurricane damage but his
supervisor at $30/hr is still working, so you'll get a higher bias," said a
trader. "There also cld be a scarcity of construction workers due to hurricanes
so that cld bias the numbers upward."
- But if AHE comes in +0.5%/+0.6%, Tsys slide. "Traders aren't used to seeing
that beat expectations," said 1st trader. Some recent data was strongest in yrs:
Wed 59.8 Sep ISM nonmanuf. highest since 2005. "You will have to look at all the
econ. data in general, which continue to show a very strong econ." he said.
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.