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Treasuries Bear Flatten Amidst Low Volumes

US TSYS
  • Cash Treasuries bear flatten after four consecutive days of moving steeper as Fed hike expectations firm.
  • This sees 2s10s at 16bps, having been -10bps at the start of the week, despite 10Y yields earlier touching new cycle highs as QT considerations continue to weigh.
  • 2YY +5.0bps at 2.509%, 5YY +2.9bps at 2.735%, 10YY +0.6bps at 2.664% and 30YY -0.1bps at 2.678%.
  • TYM2 sits 7 ticks lower at 120-10+ having earlier touched a new cycle low of 120-05 amidst below average volumes. It continues to sit close to support of 120-04+ (low Dec 12/13, 2018 cont) whilst resistance is the 20-day EMA of 122-27+.
  • Geopolitical headlines likely to dominate today with limited potential drivers scheduled, with no Fedspeak or issuance and only wholesale inventories/sales for data.

US 2Y yields, 10Y yields and 2s10s spread (mid, not ask yields per text)Source: Bloomberg

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