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Free Access*** Treasuries earlier this week,......>
US TSY FLOWS: *** Treasuries earlier this week, Tues-Wed saw some heavy sales
o/night, which caused head-scratching by traders who asked if it was due to
Pres. Trump tax movement or other causes. While tax/budget worries could have
been cause for some sales, traders tell MNI Asian accts did some position-tied
sales/tweaks into qrtr-end, which made up part of selling, but now adjustment
sales are done. Trading flows thus now more balanced.
- Still: other traders will watch to see if Tsys holders use late afternoon
month-end time near 3pm ET to sell Tsys. Thinking was, would-be sellers know
lots of index-tied funds need to buy Tsys that time to match month-end index
extension, so it wld be "liquidity event" to sell Tsys to willing buyers. But
given morning selloff, it may be at least some month-end buyers already bought
what needed to buy, so won't be a big explosion of buyers late. Anyway the that
structural sellers need to dump a bunch more Tsys does not seem to pan out or at
least, not at these levels. But still some will have great interest in action
around 3pm ET: should there be big swoop up and big swoop down, speculation will
revive on major sellers with more to do. For now, the worry seems to be lifted.
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.