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Treasuries Sell Off, Solid Docket Ahead

US TSYS
  • Cash Tsys have sold off across the curve in a slight bear steepening, marginally underperforming Europe ahead of a solid day of US data and the last day of Fedspeak before the media blackout.
  • 2Y yields +3.7bps at 0.930%, 5Y +4.2bps at 1.515%, 10Y +4.1bps at 1.745% and 30Y +4.6bps at 2.089%.
  • TYH2 is touching sessions lows at 128-13+ on average volumes. This is the low end of yesterday’s range with support seen at 127-30 (1.764 proj of Dec 20-29-31 price swing) and resistance at 129-00 (Jan 6 high).
  • Potential data highlights are retail sales and IP activity measures plus U.Mich consumer sentiment and inflation expectations.
  • Fedspeak: Williams (permanent voter) is the only FOMC member scheduled to speak today at 1100ET.
  • No issuance today whilst NY Fed buys resume on Tuesday after MLK Jr holiday Monday.
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