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Trend Outlook Remains Bearish

  • RES 4: 1.0769 High Sep 12
  • RES 3: 1.0737 High Sep 20
  • RES 2: 1.0697 50-day EMA
  • RES 1: 1.0640 High Oct 11
  • PRICE: 1.0527 @ 06:21 BST Oct 16
  • SUP 1: 1.0448 Low Oct 03 and the bear trigger
  • SUP 2: 1.0406 50.0% retracement of the Sep ‘22 - Jul ‘23 bull leg
  • SUP 3: 1.0331 2.0% 10-dma envelope
  • SUP 4: 1.0291 Low Nov 30 2022

EURUSD trend conditions remain bearish and the reversal lower last Thursday suggests the end of the recent corrective cycle. The pair is trading below the 20-day EMA - at 1.0590. Attention is on 1.0448, the Oct 3 low. A break of this level would confirm a resumption of the downtrend and open 1.0406, a Fibonacci retracement. On the upside, clearance of 1.0640, the Oct 12 high, would signal scope for a stronger correction.

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