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US: Trump Approval Rating Marginally Above Water Per New Nate Silver Tracker

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Nate Silver's SilverBulletin has launched a new presidential approval tracker, giving President Donald Trump a roughly even net approval rating, though on a downtrend since his relatively strong approval rating on Inauguration Day. The SilverBulletin tracker is particularly useful in light of Disney's recent decision to shutter operations at the analytics site 538. 

  • Silver notes: "As of launch, Trump is more popular than at a comparable point in his first term, but on something of a downslope, at a 48 percent approval ratingand an equal 48 percent disapproval rating."
  • Silver adds: "There’s a lot that’s happened recently that may not yet be reflected in the numbers, like Trump’s address to Congress on Tuesday, his contentious meeting with Ukrainian president Zelenskyy, and volatility in the stock market associated with on-again, off-again tariff threats. So watch this space: this may be a first test of whether Trump has as high a floor — and as low a ceiling — as he did last time around."

Figure 1: President Trump Approval Rating

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Nate Silver's SilverBulletin has launched a new presidential approval tracker, giving President Donald Trump a roughly even net approval rating, though on a downtrend since his relatively strong approval rating on Inauguration Day. The SilverBulletin tracker is particularly useful in light of Disney's recent decision to shutter operations at the analytics site 538. 

  • Silver notes: "As of launch, Trump is more popular than at a comparable point in his first term, but on something of a downslope, at a 48 percent approval ratingand an equal 48 percent disapproval rating."
  • Silver adds: "There’s a lot that’s happened recently that may not yet be reflected in the numbers, like Trump’s address to Congress on Tuesday, his contentious meeting with Ukrainian president Zelenskyy, and volatility in the stock market associated with on-again, off-again tariff threats. So watch this space: this may be a first test of whether Trump has as high a floor — and as low a ceiling — as he did last time around."

Figure 1: President Trump Approval Rating

Keep reading...Show less