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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
US
Election analysed Nate Silver has updated his 2024 presidential election forecast model, noting that, "Biden’s average projection is now 238 electoral votes, his lowest number to date."
- Silver adds: "Note that almost none of this data yet takes into account the effects of the attempted assassination against Donald Trump... we’ve also updated the forecast to account for Trump’s VP pick, Ohio Sen. J.D. Vance, which gives Trump a further boost in Ohio."
- Silver's forecast notes that Trump has strengthened in eight of the nine most competitive states over the past month. North Carolina is the exception, where Biden has gained 0.3 of a point.
Figure 1: 2024 Presidential Election Forecast
Source: Silver Bulletin
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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