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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
US
Morning Consult has published a new survey showing that former President Donald Trump has his largest polling advantage (3%) over President Biden since the firm started tracking the metric in December last year.
- Morning Consult cautions, "These numbers may be best considered as a test of electability — a key issue in party primaries that carries all the more significance this time around given concerns about Trump’s baggage and whether the GOP should work to maintain Trump’s coalition or to try to expand its base."
- Marc Caputo at the Messenger reports that Trump's second federal indictment appears to have fortified Trump long-term advantage in the Republican primary, rather than providing a short term polling boost as predicted by many analysts.
- Caputo: “DeSantis supporters and Trump critics say they hope the pro-Trump rush will subside. But many acknowledge they wrongly predicted Trump would only get a vestigial “sugar high” of support that would fade after his first indictment on April 4...”
Figure 1: Republican Nominees’ Hypothetical Matchups Against President Biden (Margin Over Time)
Source: Morning Consult
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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