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Trump Leads Biden In Key Swing States

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A new survey of swing states from Bloomberg/Morning Consult has found that Biden’s recent polling bump in key battleground states, “has mostly evaporated as a deep current of pessimism about the trajectory of the US economy hurts his standing with voters.”

  • Bloomberg notes that, “Biden is ahead in just one of the seven states most likely to determine the outcome of his matchup with Donald Trump, leading Michigan by 2 percentage points. Biden trails the presumptive GOP nominee slightly in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, and his deficit in Georgia, Arizona, Nevada and North Carolina is larger.”
  • Bloomberg adds: “Those results are largely a return to the previous state of the presidential race, before a strong State of the Union address appeared to power Biden in March to his best showing in the monthly poll since it began in October.”
  • The survey runs counter to recent polling which has appeared to point towards a resurgent Biden campaign, buoyed by a significant cash advantage over Trump and data suggesting that third-party candidates may siphon more votes from Trump than Biden.

Figure 1: Presidential Election Swing State Polling

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A new survey of swing states from Bloomberg/Morning Consult has found that Biden’s recent polling bump in key battleground states, “has mostly evaporated as a deep current of pessimism about the trajectory of the US economy hurts his standing with voters.”

  • Bloomberg notes that, “Biden is ahead in just one of the seven states most likely to determine the outcome of his matchup with Donald Trump, leading Michigan by 2 percentage points. Biden trails the presumptive GOP nominee slightly in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, and his deficit in Georgia, Arizona, Nevada and North Carolina is larger.”
  • Bloomberg adds: “Those results are largely a return to the previous state of the presidential race, before a strong State of the Union address appeared to power Biden in March to his best showing in the monthly poll since it began in October.”
  • The survey runs counter to recent polling which has appeared to point towards a resurgent Biden campaign, buoyed by a significant cash advantage over Trump and data suggesting that third-party candidates may siphon more votes from Trump than Biden.

Figure 1: Presidential Election Swing State Polling

Keep reading...Show less