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MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Former President Donald Trump's decisive victory at this week's Iowa Caucuses has placed him firmly on track to secure the Republican presidential nomination, according to a new tracker published by FiveThirtyEight/ABC News.
- The New Hampshire primary on January 23 is the next event of the Republican primary calendar with polls putting former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley in touching distance of Trump.
- Most analysts believe that a weak performance from Haley next week, whose moderate platform is more closely aligned with New Hampshire, could effectively extinguish the prospect of a competitive primary.
- 538 notes: "We expect Donald Trump to pick up more delegates in states with higher populations of white evangelicals, with more non-college-educated voters and where he outperformed in the 2016 primary. He is stronger outside the early states, meaning he can survive relatively poor performances in Iowa and New Hampshire."
Figure 1: Delegate Benchmark Tracker, Republican Presidential Candidates
Source: 538
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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