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MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
US
A recent polling surge from former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley has failed to significantly limit former President Donald Trump’s lead in the Iowa caucusus - the first contest of the Republican primaries taking place on January 15.
- NBC notes: “Trump’s lead — the largest recorded so close to a competitive Republican caucus in this Iowa poll’s history — is fueled by majorities of evangelical and first-time likely caucusgoers, as well as by nearly three-quarters of Republicans who believe Trump can defeat President Joe Biden next year despite the legal challenges the former president faces.”
- Respected Iowa pollster, J. Ann Selzer, said “the field may have shrunk, but it may have made Donald Trump even stronger. I would call his lead commanding at this point,” but warned that the Iowa caucuses can be unpredictable: “Everything that could happen has happened in this contest.”
- Betting and prediction markets continue to see Trump as the overwhelming favourite to take the Republican nomination. According to ElectionBettingOdds, Trump is attributed an 80% chance of winning, based on an aggregations of markets.
Figure 1: First Choice Candidate Amongst Likely GOP Iowa Caucusgoers
Source: NBC/Des Moine Register
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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