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TRY Underperforms Regional Peers, ZAR/TRY +5.94% m/m

EMERGING MARKETS

ZAR & RUB continue to outperform TRY on the month as Turkish assets underperform. ZAR accelerating as outperformance in the region becomes more deeply ensconced


  • SA: ZAR/TRY +5.94% m/m: high carry/real yields, balanced inflation, current acc surplus, firm commodtiies, positive fiscal/political scene supporting ZAR
  • RUSSIA: RUB/TRY +3.98% m/m: Hawkish CBR, improving geopolitical scene, moderating inflation, strong oil markets (commodity supercycle).
    • However, these factors are less stable than in SA with question marks still in play on geopolitics and oil (Iran deal).


MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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